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Not Just One Crisis: A Descriptive Epidemiological Review of Six Causes of Premature Mortality among Working-Age American (20-64) Over 25-Years
Thesis

Not Just One Crisis: A Descriptive Epidemiological Review of Six Causes of Premature Mortality among Working-Age American (20-64) Over 25-Years

Jennifer P. Rogers
Master of Arts (MA), University of Miami
2026-07

Abstract

Premature mortality Working-age adults Descriptive epidemiology Age-adjusted mortality Syndemic perspective Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research

Premature mortality among working-age Americans changed substantially between 1999 and 2023. Using national mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research (CDC WONDER), this study describes age-adjusted mortality among adults aged 20 to 64 from six leading causes of death: heart disease, cancer, drug overdose, firearm-related deaths, motor vehicle fatalities, and COVID-19. The analysis examines variation by race, sex, cause of death, and time without testing causal explanations. The study's principal contribution is an analytical synthesis presented as a heat map that integrates multiple causes of death within one descriptive framework. Organized around inflection periods identified from annual trends, ranking tables, and crossover analyses, the heat map reveals patterns that are less visible when causes are examined separately. The synthesis shows that premature mortality was unevenly distributed across the working-age population. American Indian and Alaska Native adults consistently experienced the highest mortality across multiple causes, males generally had higher mortality than females for external causes, drug overdose mortality increased substantially during the latter half of the period, and COVID-19 introduced an additional mortality burden during the final period. By integrating race, sex, cause of death, and time, this study provides a population-level perspective on the changing burden of premature mortality among working-age Americans. It complements conventional mortality surveillance by showing how multiple causes evolve simultaneously across populations and over time and provides a descriptive foundation for future epidemiological and sociological research.

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Embargoed Access, Embargo ends: 2028-07-18

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