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The Utility of Machine Learning-Enhanced Developmental Cascade Models in Prevention Science
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

The Utility of Machine Learning-Enhanced Developmental Cascade Models in Prevention Science

Vanessa Morales, Francisco Cardozo, Raymond R Balise, Sara M St George and Daniel J Feaster
Prevention science, Vol.27, pp.1153-1162
2026-04-02
PMID: 41926047

Abstract

Risk and protective factors Prevention science Predictive modeling Developmental cascade models Longitudinal data analysis Machine Learning
Developmental cascade models provide a valuable framework for understanding how risk and protective factors interact over time to shape health and behavioral outcomes. Traditional statistical methods, such as logistic regression and structural equation modeling, have been instrumental in uncovering developmental pathways within prevention science. However, these methods often impose constraints on model complexity and face limitations in capturing the non-linear and interdependent nature of developmental processes. Machine learning (ML) offers complementary advantages, such as the ability to incorporate high-dimensional data, detect complex interactions, and enhance predictive accuracy. These capabilities can improve identification of at-risk individuals, support the timing of interventions across developmental stages, and refine theory-driven models. By integrating ML with developmental cascade models, researchers can more effectively identify when and how which risk accumulates and protective factors exert influence, thereby improving the tailoring and efficiency of prevention strategies. This conceptual paper outlines how ML can extend traditional analytic approaches in developmental cascade research, discusses key practical considerations for researchers including data requirements, software selection, and model validation, and highlights its potential to advance prevention science across the life course.
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s11121-026-01897-0View
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Citation topics
1 Clinical & Life Sciences
1.155 Healthcare Ethics & Policy
1.155.2774 Depression Detection
Web Of Science research areas
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
ESI research areas
Social Sciences, general

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